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Welcome back, today is Thursday, October fifteenth, and we begin with September's inflation print, where Brewbound reports beverage-alcohol increases trailed the overall index.
Beverage-alcohol price increases trailed overall inflation in September. That is Brewbound, reading the Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index, which that account says shows costs still climbing amid higher gasoline prices and persistent inflation, with beverage-alcohol not among the line items stretching consumers' budgets. The same reporting carries no figures beyond that direction. For pricing and revenue-growth planning, it puts wallet pressure somewhere other than the shelf, which changes the read on where recent category softness is coming from. Industry reaction leans toward treating the hot September print as an energy shock rather than broad demand overheating, with much of the monthly gain traced to fuel. Some in the channel go further, reading flat category pricing as a sign of soft demand rather than discipline.
Also today, beer's full-year projection now hangs on holiday timing. Circana EVP of BevAl Scott Scanlon wrote in the data firm's weekly scans report that the category should hope for an early start to the holidays to lift sales, per Brewbound. That report carries no figures beyond the direction of travel. It follows our earlier report on deepening beer losses and a ready-to-drink slowdown driving accelerated third-quarter declines, and it narrows the fourth-quarter question to a calendar one, whether promotional calendars and shipments get pulled forward far enough to close the gap to plan. Industry reaction tends to read these scans less as a beer-timing story than as share migration inside bev-alc, with ready-to-drink cocktails and non-alcoholic beer taking the outsized gains, and some treating any single scan week as too thin to plan against.
Separately, California's craft closures. CalMatters reports Prohibition Brewing in Vista shuts this month, Sapporo is selling Stone Brewing and closing its Escondido flagship, and landmark brewers in Berkeley and Eureka are winding down. The more alarming number in that argument is not closures. Brewers Association economist Matt Gacioch says in that account that brewery openings have fallen away sharply, with the trade group's figures putting craft brewery counts down three and a half percent nationally in twenty twenty-five, and California's down five percent since twenty twenty-three, to nine hundred thirty-nine. That read ties the squeeze to tariffs on imported aluminum and steel, Canadian restrictions that cut beer imports ninety percent, and lighter youth drinking, and it notes taproom-led brewers outperforming distribution-led ones. Some practitioners tie that lighter youth drinking to affordability pressure rather than wellness or cannabis, which would make it cyclical rather than generational.
Also in the trade, a data deal. Financial Information Technologies, which trades as Fintech, says it has acquired Ground Signal, a provider of on-premise market intelligence and analytics. The Tampa company describes the purchase as a step toward building a combined technology, data, payments and insights platform for beverage alcohol, and its own announcement is the only account we have. The practical effect is that account-level on-premise data would sit inside a payments and compliance rail suppliers and distributors already route through, consolidating visibility as much as software.
Now, a few more headlines moving the trade today. Just Drinks reports strike action at Diageo's Scottish site is suspended ahead of talks with union officials, pausing the dispute we have tracked since September.
Also from Just Drinks, sale talks for most of Uncle Nearest's assets continue, the receiver says, after a transaction with an unnamed buyer failed to materialise.
Brewbound reports off-premise still holds most adult non-alcoholic sales, but on-premise and e-commerce are now growing about twice as fast, per a recent NIQ report.
Incoming National Beer Wholesalers Association chair Luke Dahlheimer told the group's Orlando convention that beer is the trump card, but distributors need the whole deck, per Brewbound.
Provi says it has named Matthew Tucker chief executive, succeeding founder Taylor Katzman, citing his experience scaling the hospitality technology platforms Olo and Tock.
And finally, Johnnie Walker has launched Vault, a permanent prestige blend carrying whisky from the long-closed Brora distillery, at eleven hundred pounds a bottle, per Robb Report.